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Gold forecast price in 2025

There are two predictive Technical analysis methods we can use to forecast future Gold prices.

Andrews Pitchfork Strategy

The first is Andrews pitchfork strategy, taught by Dr. Alan H. Andrews during the 1960s and 1970s.

Dr. Andrews' techniques are based on Isaac Newton's Third Law of Motion: Action - Reaction.

Pitchfork drawing provides an elegantly simple way to identify Market trend, Support and resistance zones, and price targets using one tool.

Fibonacci Extension

Our second predictive Technical analysis method is the Fibonacci extension tool which is based on the Fibonacci sequence.

Using a sequence of low-high-low price pivots Fibonacci extension predicts where the next high pivot point (price target) is likely to occur.

The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers obtained by adding the two preceding numbers.

Starting with zero and 1, we get: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, ...

There are several Technical analysis tools based on the Fibonacci sequence. Fibonacci retracement and Fibonacci extension are the most commonly used.

Gold price forecasts for 2021 and 2025

Before we address the price of Gold in 2025 let’s consider what the yellow metal is likely to do in 2021.

The precious metals rallied into a peak in late-August 2020 and then entered a correction that continued into early-2021.

Market pundits believe that after this correction completes Gold will resume its uptrend and break to new all-time-high prices.

There is potential for Gold’s next upleg to be quite impulsive as investors

1) seek protection from inflation and

2) flee other asset classes (like bonds and tech stocks) that don’t perform well when inflation is running hot.

In other words, fear (flight to safety) is a possible driver for the next upward price movement in Gold.

Another potential driver is a growing distaste among retail investors for the games that Wall Street plays with impunity to the detriment of the retail investor.

The 
Silver Squeeze campaign urging people to buy Silver and take physical possession is an example of this sentiment being expressed in a very public manner.


This GoFundMe campaign raised over US$100K in less than one week in order to buy billboard space to promote the campaign of buying physical Silver and taking personal possession of it.


The movement's objective is to end the manipulative games that Wall Street plays with Precious metals by removing the physical metal from their possession.

Gold price forecast 2021 Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs is providing $2300 as their Gold price forecast in 2021.


The Investment bank cites several factors for a continuation of Gold's current bull Market:


  • rising Inflation
  • additional weakness in the US Dollar
  • increasing retail demand for Precious metals


The $2300 Gold price forecast from Goldman Sachs is on the conservative end of what Satori Traders is expecting in 2021.

Satori Traders 2021 Gold price prediction

To arrive at a Gold price forecast for 2021 let’s first state some assumptions:

1. The precious metals are currently in a secular (multi-year) uptrend
2. Corrections in Gold tend to last 4 to 6 months
3. A decisive break above the high from 2011 will attract new buyers


If we accept that Gold is in a bull market then a typical correction from the high in August 2020 would be complete somewhere in the January to March 2021 time frame.

If Gold bottoms in March, that leaves 9 months of 2021 where the Market trend in Gold is likely to be upward.

Gold’s upleg in 2020 added $525 in 8 months so similar behavior is possible in 2021.

Starting from an assumed Gold bottom of $1700, adding $525 gives us a price target at $2225.

What we haven’t accounted for yet is that above the 2011 high of $1920 and above the 2020 high of $2075 there are likely to be new buyers who will enter the Gold market as they become convinced that Gold is in a secular bull market.

These buyers could drive an impulsive spike up to some price level above $2225.

If we use the Fibonacci extension tool on a monthly chart of Gold we get a possible price target at $2357.

Given that reaching $2225 in 2021 would just be a repeat of Gold’s performance in 2020 and the potential for new buyers above the previous ATHs, Satori Traders is using $2357 as a potential Gold price target in 2021.

Inflation fears and a serious flight to safety could drive Gold well above $2357 in 2021. On a decisive break above that level there are several potential price targets in the $2713 to $2880 range. These targets will be evaluated in detail as events unfold.

Gold price forecast 2025 Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs hasn't provided a public Gold price forecast for 2025.

It would be surprising to see Goldman Sachs predict a Gold price several years in the future.


As a multi-national Investment bank Goldman Sachs is wise to let the bloggers speculate about $50,000 Gold while the Bank keeps its closely-watched opinions to itself.

Most of the current price forecasts for Gold in 2025 are in the $3000 to $5000 range so it is reasonable to assume that the Goldman Sachs Gold price forecast for 2025 would be somewhere in that range.

Satori Traders projected Gold price for 2025

In the 6:10 minute video below, Gold price prediction charts are used to illustrate different Technical analysis methods and how those methods can be used for forecasting Gold prices.

Consolidating the Gold price predictions of the different tools identifies two potential targets we can use for our Gold price forecast 2025: $2713 and $3465.

$2713 comes from Fibonacci extension on Gold’s monthly chart.

$3465 is a target based on a Schiff pitchfork (variation of Andrews pitchfork).


Both of those targets seem plausible for the 2025-2026 time frame.

Satori Traders is using $2713 to $3465 as

Gold’s potential price target for 2025-2026.

As highlighted in the video, there are several Technical analysis methods that provide price targets in the $2713 to $3465 range. This table presents those results.

Technical analysis method

Price target

Year

Schiff variation of Andrews Pitchfork

$2880

2023

Schiff variation of Andrews pitchfork

$3465

2026

Head and shoulders bottom

$2765

2030

Fibonacci extension

$2357

2023

Fibonacci extension

$2713

2025

Gold price forecast 2050

Satori Traders confidently predicts that one once of Gold in 2050 will be worth exactly one ounce of Gold.


That relationship has held true for thousands of years so there is no reason to expect that it will change.


Unfortunately, Satori Traders is unable to forecast what an ounce of Gold will be worth when priced in some fiat currency which may well be digital by 2050.


The best prediction technique we can use for 2050 is the parabolic curve demonstrated below.


Using a conservative application of the parabolic curve, as shown in the chart, we predict a price of $21,000 per ounce by the year 2030.


On their current trajectories, all of the fiat currencies on planet Earth are quickly headed towards their true value, which is zero.


When denominated in a worthless currency, the price of Gold is infinite because nobody in that environment will sell their Gold for worthless paper.

Gold price prediction charts

Let's consider where Gold prices might be headed in the future

Gold prices in the future

We'll use five Gold price prediction charts to illustrate different Technical analysis methods we can use for forecasting

Caveats

We're just spit-balling here

There is no Investment or trading advice intended in these charts

The charts are just thought tools for visual thinkers

The charts

Each chart illustrates one of five prediction methods and the corresponding price targets

All of the charts are in the monthly timeframe

The results

We'll consolidate the price targets from all five charts into a single table and look for clusters in the results

If multiple methods provide similar results we might assume that those targets have a higher probability of being reached

Gold price forecast next 5 years -

Andrews pitchfork strategy

Andrews pitchfork rules tell us that the next median line becomes a high-probability price target as a price trend progresses

In this chart, we are using a Schiff pitchfork to produce a Gold price forecast for the next 5 years

It appears that Gold has pulled back to the median line of this fork and found support

If that is the case, then a price reversal to the upside is likely and the upper median line of the fork and $2320 becomes our next target

When price reaches that level, if it does, Andrews pitchfork rules define the behavior that is likely to occur at that point

Gold price forecast for next 5 years based on Andrews pitchfork strategy

Price target

Year

$2320

early-2022

$2880

mid-2023

$3465

early-2026

Future Price for Gold -

Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern

This chart illustrates a head and shoulders continuation pattern in Gold's long-term uptrend

Once a continuation pattern completes, there is a high probability that the previous Market trend will resume

In this case we have Gold working on the second shoulder in the head and shoulders bottom

To determine the future price for Gold using head and shoulder pattern rules we find the maximum distance from the head to the neckline

We then add that distance above the neckline at the point of expected breakout to find our price target

The inverse head and shoulders pattern doesn't give us a time prediction method so we'll make a guesstimate

Because the pattern took nine years to complete (2012 through 2021) we will assume that Gold will take nine years to reach the pattern's target price

Future price for Gold based on head and shoulders continuation pattern

Price target

Year

$2765

2030

Where are Gold Prices Headed -

Fibonacci Extension

The trend-based Fibonacci extension tool is applied to three significant price pivots in a price chart in order to predict the next potential price pivot

In this chart of Gold we are choosing 1999, the start of the last major bull rally, as our first price pivot

The price peak in 2011 gives us our second pivot and the bottom in 2015 gives us the third

Notice that the price of Gold reached the predicted 0.618 Fibonacci extension level in August of 2020 before pulling back

The fact that the Fibonacci tool exactly predicted the August 2020 price peak suggests that the other Gold price predictions made by this application of the tool could also be accurate


Where Gold prices are headed based on Fibonacci extension

Price target

Year

$2357

early-2023

$2713

late-2025

$3744

late-2030

Historical Gold Price Data -

Percentage Gain

In this chart we consider prior bull markets in Gold and determine price targets based on the assumption that the past behavior could repeat

As the historical Gold price data shows us, there have been two significant rallies in the price of Gold

Rally dates

Starting price

Ending price

% Gain

Multiplier

1969 to 1980

$42

$875

2083

20.83

1999 to 2011

$252

$1920

762

7.62

If we assume that Gold bottomed in 2015 at $1046 we get these potential targets based on similar gains

Starting price

Percentage gain

Price target

$1046

762

$7970

$1046

2083

$21788

We don't get a time estimate from the historical Gold price data so we'll guesstimate again

Let's arbitrarily pick 5 years and 10 years as the time needed to reach these targets

Price target

Year

$7970

2026

$21,788

2031

As an alternative, we might note that the prior rallies were 11 and 12 years in duration so the current one could be similar

From the bottom in 2015 that would give us a potential rally end in 2026 or 2027


Gold Price Forecast 2030 -

Parabolic Trend

SWAG: Scientific Wild-Ass Guess

This chart illustrates the idea that the rally in Gold could continue to accelerate until it ultimately goes parabolic

Note that there is nothing scientific about this prediction method

We are just applying a simple curve tool to a price chart and adjusting it until it looks good (whatever that means)

In most parabolic price movements the driving factor is overly-bullish investors and speculators who buy at any price

Gold is unique because it acts as an investment vehicle while also maintaining the monetary role it has held for 5000 years or more (see Gresham's Law and Exter's Pyramid)

A parabolic trend in Gold is likely to have two driving factors:

investors and speculators being overly-bullish
ongoing monetary debasement as central bankers and politicians "solve" every challenge with printing press money


We have reached a point in the global economy where all of the central banks are furiously running their printing presses to create more fiat currency

As of late-2020 this printing totals about $300 billion US dollars per month

The printing is likely to accelerate going forward because of additional Covid-relief/stimulus packages, the New Green Deal, UBI (universal basic income), and retiring Baby Boomers (10K per day are turning 65 and becoming eligible for social security, Medicare, etc.)

According to the experts, it will be OK to pay for all of these items with printing press money because of MMT (modern monetary theory)

Others believe that MMT is just a re-labeling of failed Keynesian principles and that the price of Gold will continue rising as long as the printing presses remain on

Gold price forecast based on parabolic trend

Price target

Year

$2700

2023

$5000

2025

$9000

2027

$21000

2030

Gold Price Prediction Charts - 

Consolidated Targets

Technical analysis method

Price target

Year

Schiff variation of Andrews pitchfork

$2320

2022

Schiff variation of Andrews pitchfork

$2880

2023

Schiff variation of Andrews pitchfork

$3465

2026

Head and shoulders bottom

$2765

2030

Fibonacci extension

$2357

2023

Fibonacci extension

$2713

2025

Fibonacci extension

$3744

2030

Historical Gold price data

$7970

2026

Historical Gold price data

$21788

2026

Parabolic trend line

$2700

2023

Parabolic trend line

$5000

2025

Parabolic trend line

$9000

2027

Parabolic trend line

$21000

2030

In the consolidated results we can see that there are clusters around $2300 and $2700

We can also note that these potential price targets are supported by the most scientific prediction methods we are using in our Gold price prediction charts: Andrews pitchfork and Fibonacci extension


When we are considering potential Gold prices in the future we can factor $2300 and $2700 into our analysis as possible price targets

Given that Gold has already reached $2070 (August 2020), it seems reasonable that $2300 might be the next significant price target

It might also be reasonable to assume that this target would be reached in 2021

The target at $2700 would be very aggressive for 2021 but, as Mark Twain said, "There's no fever like Gold fever!"


   

Bryan V Post is a California-registered Investment Advisor Representative specializing in the Precious metals.

He is the founder and CEO of Satori Traders LLC, a California-registered Investment Advisor.


Bryan has worn numerous hats during his life:

Engineer, Portfolio manager, Precious metals Investor, Technical analyst, Proprietary trader, Swing trader.

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